Where’s the Love for the Longhorns?
By: John Schroeder
Updated: October 26th, 2009
ATLANTA – Last year the BCS computer rankings denied Texas a shot at the Big XII title and the potential for a spot in the national championship game. A year has passed and the Longhorns seem to have learned their lesson, going undefeated and rolling up an average margin of victory of 28 points per game.
So what about the computers, have they learned not to underestimate a Texas squad that is 19-1 over the past two seasons?
A careful reading of the new BCS rankings shows Texas to be underappreciated. Ranked #3 in both human polls, the six BCS computers have Texas at 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th, 10th and 14th. Yes one computer has the ‘Horns at #14 behind Georgia Tech, Penn State, Virginia Tech, and even 5-2 Arizona.
The Longhorns have played dominant football against a tough Big XII schedule. Look for the BCS computers to slowly start to catch on next week after the Longhorns take care of business in Stillwater against #13 Oklahoma State.
The Six Claims to #1:
- Favorite of Vegas: Texas – a 9 point favorite at Oklahoma State; Gators fall to #2 for the 1st time in ‘09
- Quality Wins: Alabama – wins over Tennessee, Virginia Tech, Ark., So. Car., UK, and Mississippi
- Style Points: Texas – averaging a 28-point margin of victory against Div. 1-A opponents
- Hottest Right Now: Texas – followed up Red River Rivalry with a 41-7 domination at Missouri
- Road Warrior: Southern Cal. – road wins at California and Ohio State
- Best Undefeated: Alabama – unbeaten, brutal SEC schedule, plus week 1 win over the Hokies
Vegas Spread Index![]() Favorites of the odds makers |
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| # | Team | Spread |
| 1 | Texas | 27.5 |
| 2 | Florida | 25.5 |
| 3 | Oklahoma | 24 |
| 4 | Alabama | 21.5 |
| 5 | Southern Cal | 20 |
| 6 | TCU | 18 |
| 7 | Boise St. | 17.5 |
| 8 | Virginia Tech | 16.5 |
| 9 | Penn St. | 15.5 |
| 10 | Mississippi | 15 |
Quality Win-Loss Matrix![]() Biggest wins this season |
||||
| # | Team | Rating | ||
| 1 | Alabama (8-0) | 53.35 | ||
| 2 | Texas (7-0) | 45.32 | ||
| 3 | Iowa (8-0) | 42.8 | ||
| 4 | Florida (7-0) | 39.73 | ||
| 5 | Georgia Tech (7-1) | 27.23 | ||
| 6 | TCU (7-0) | 24.52 | ||
| 7 | Cincinnati (7-0) | 23.18 | ||
| 8 | LSU (6-1) | 19.01 | ||
| 9 | Southern Cal (6-1) | 18.32 | ||
| 10 | Oregon (6-1) | 15.74 | ||
True Style Points![]() Performance based on margin of victory |
||
| # | Team | Rating |
| 1 | Texas (7-0) | 29 |
| 2 | Florida (7-0) | 26 |
| 3 | Oklahoma (4-3) | 26 |
| 4 | Alabama (8-0) | 23 |
| 5 | Boise St. (7-0) | 23 |
| 6 | TCU (7-0) | 20 |
| 7 | Cincinnati (7-0) | 20 |
| 8 | Oregon (6-1) | 19 |
| 9 | Nebraska (4-3) | 18 |
| 10 | Virginia Tech (5-2) | 18 |
Top 25 Heat Index![]() Who's playing the best right now? |
||
| # | Team | Rating |
| 1 | Texas (7-0) | 100°F |
| 2 | TCU (7-0) | 91°F |
| 3 | Alabama (8-0) | 90°F |
| 4 | Oregon (6-1) | 90°F |
| 5 | Georgia Tech (7-1) | 89°F |
| 6 | Oklahoma (4-3) | 89°F |
| 7 | Boise St. (7-0) | 88°F |
| 8 | Penn St. (7-1) | 88°F |
| 9 | LSU (6-1) | 87°F |
| 10 | Oklahoma St. (6-1) | 86°F |
Road Warrior Rankings![]() Biggest wins in opponent’s home stadiums |
||
| # | Team | Rating |
| 1 | Southern Cal (6-1) | 35.11 |
| 2 | Iowa (8-0) | 33.75 |
| 3 | Florida (7-0) | 27.76 |
| 4 | TCU (7-0) | 24.52 |
| 5 | Cincinnati (7-0) | 23.18 |
| 6 | Houston (6-1) | 21.81 |
| 7 | Texas Tech (5-3) | 20.94 |
| 8 | Alabama (8-0) | 20.82 |
| 9 | Florida St. (3-4) | 19.88 |
| 10 | Iowa St. (5-3) | 18.53 |
Undefeated SoS![]() Unbeatens ranked by strength of schedule |
||
| # | Team | Rating |
| 1 | Alabama (8-0) | 53.35 |
| 2 | Texas (7-0) | 45.32 |
| 3 | Iowa (8-0) | 42.8 |
| 4 | Florida (7-0) | 39.73 |
| 5 | TCU (7-0) | 24.52 |
| 6 | Cincinnati (7-0) | 23.18 |
| 7 | Boise St. (7-0) | 14.68 |
John Schroeder
A nationally recognized speaker in the field of business analysis, John is the author of the award-winning business management book, Beating the Odds – Poker Strategies for Leading Projects and Winning at Work.
John has been writing for Fan Formula since 2007. He holds a Bachelors of Science in Electrical Engineering and an MBA from the Georgia Institute of Technology.
2009
- Experiencing Technical Difficulties
- Undefeated but Only Half as Dominant?
- Where's the Love for the Longhorns?
- Alabama Confirms It
- Thirteen Teams in Fourteen Days
- Texas Separates From the Speed States
- Sunshine State Domination
- How Long Can BYU Remain on Top?
- Dispute at the Top
- Movers and Losers
2008
2009
- Bowl Week
- Championshp Week
- Week 13 picks - Texas Showdown
- Week 12 picks - Tiger by the Tail
- Week 11 picks - Wildcats & Thundercats
- Week 10 picks - Low Tide
- Week 9 picks - Straight Up Saturday
- Week 8 picks - Straight Outta Crompton
- Week 7 picks - Texas Showdown
- Week 6 picks - Road Trip, Road Trip, Road Trip
- Week 5 picks - SEC Rolls - Mountaineers Struggle
- Week 4 picks - Forget the Preseason Rankings
- Week 3 picks - The Bearcat is Back
- Week 2 picks - Return of the Buckasaurus
- Week 1 picks - Baby's Got 'Pack
- Rated for 2009
2008
- Bowl Week
- Week 14 - Time to Step Up
- Week 13 - Lame Ducks, and Beavers
- Week 12 - No Longer Playing Like Freshmen
- Week 11 - Enemy of My Enemy
- Week 10 - SEC Dominance
- Week 9 - Winning on the Road
- Week 8 - Big Names - Little O's
- Week 7 - Buy the Bye
- Week 6 - What Do We Have to Do to Win Big?
- Week 5 - It’s Another Underdog Saturday